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- Condorcet's_jury_theorem abstract "Condorcet's jury theorem is a political science theorem about the relative probability of a given group of individuals arriving at a correct decision. The theorem was first expressed by the Marquis de Condorcet in his 1785 work Essay on the Application of Analysis to the Probability of Majority Decisions.The assumptions of the simplest version of the theorem are that a group wishes to reach a decision by majority vote. One of the two outcomes of the vote is correct, and each voter has an independent probability p of voting for the correct decision. The theorem asks how many voters we should include in the group. The result depends on whether p is greater than or less than 1/2: If p is greater than 1/2 (each voter is more likely to vote correctly), then adding more voters increases the probability that the majority decision is correct. In the limit, the probability that the majority votes correctly approaches 1 as the number of voters increases. On the other hand, if p is less than 1/2 (each voter is more likely than not to vote incorrectly), then adding more voters makes things worse: the optimal jury consists of a single voter.↑".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem wikiPageID "2707511".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem wikiPageRevisionID "585169599".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem hasPhotoCollection Condorcet's_jury_theorem.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem subject Category:Probability_theorems.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem subject Category:Voting_theory.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem type Abstraction100002137.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem type Communication100033020.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem type Message106598915.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem type ProbabilityTheorems.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem type Proposition106750804.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem type Statement106722453.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem type Theorem106752293.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem comment "Condorcet's jury theorem is a political science theorem about the relative probability of a given group of individuals arriving at a correct decision. The theorem was first expressed by the Marquis de Condorcet in his 1785 work Essay on the Application of Analysis to the Probability of Majority Decisions.The assumptions of the simplest version of the theorem are that a group wishes to reach a decision by majority vote.".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem label "Condorcet's jury theorem".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem label "Condorcet-Jury-Theorem".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem label "Teorema do júri de Condorcet".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem label "陪審定理".
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem sameAs Condorcet-Jury-Theorem.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem sameAs 陪審定理.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem sameAs Teorema_do_júri_de_Condorcet.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem sameAs m.07z8_q.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem sameAs Q744925.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem sameAs Q744925.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem sameAs Condorcet's_jury_theorem.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem wasDerivedFrom Condorcet's_jury_theorem?oldid=585169599.
- Condorcet's_jury_theorem isPrimaryTopicOf Condorcet's_jury_theorem.