Matches in DBpedia 2014 for { <http://dbpedia.org/resource/An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances> ?p ?o. }
Showing items 1 to 17 of
17
with 100 items per page.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances abstract "An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances is a work on the mathematical theory of probability by the Reverend Thomas Bayes, published in 1763, two years after its author's death. It included a statement of a special case of what is now called Bayes' theorem. In 18th-century English, the phrase "doctrine of chances" meant the theory of probability. It had been introduced as the title of a book by Abraham de Moivre.Bayes supposed a sequence of independent experiments, each having as its outcome either success or failure, the probability of success being some number p between 0 and 1. But then he supposed p to be an uncertain quantity, whose probability of being in any interval between 0 and 1 is the length of the interval. In modern terms, p would be considered a random variable uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Conditionally on the value of p, the trials resulting in success or failure are independent, but unconditionally (or "marginally") they are not. That is because if a large number of successes are observed, then p is more likely to be large, so that success on the next trial is more probable. The question Bayes addressed was: what is the conditional probability distribution of p, given the numbers of successes and failures so far observed. The answer is that its probability density function is (and ƒ(p) = 0 for p < 0 or p > 1) where k is the number of successes so far observed, and n is the number of trials so far observed. This is what today is called the Beta distribution with parameters k + 1 and n − k + 1.".
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances wikiPageExternalLink essay.pdf.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances wikiPageID "33200324".
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances wikiPageRevisionID "538570290".
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances hasPhotoCollection An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances subject Category:1763_works.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances subject Category:18th-century_essays.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances subject Category:Bayesian_inference.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances subject Category:History_of_mathematics.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances subject Category:History_of_statistics.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances comment "An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances is a work on the mathematical theory of probability by the Reverend Thomas Bayes, published in 1763, two years after its author's death. It included a statement of a special case of what is now called Bayes' theorem. In 18th-century English, the phrase "doctrine of chances" meant the theory of probability.".
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances label "An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances".
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances sameAs m.0h67r15.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances sameAs Q4749933.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances sameAs Q4749933.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances wasDerivedFrom An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances?oldid=538570290.
- An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances isPrimaryTopicOf An_Essay_towards_solving_a_Problem_in_the_Doctrine_of_Chances.