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- Reference_class_problem abstract "In statistics, the reference class problem is the problem of deciding what class to use when calculating the probability applicable to a particular case. For example, to estimate the probability of an aircraft crashing, one might use the frequency of crashes of all aircraft, of this make of aircraft, of aircraft flown by this company in the last ten years, etc. Any case is a member of very many classes, in which the frequency of the attribute of interest (such as crashing) differs, and the reference class problem discusses which is the most appropriate to use. More formally, many arguments in statistics take the form of a statistical syllogism:proportion of are is an Therefore, the chance that is a is is called the "reference class" and is the "attribute class" and is the individual object. How is one to choose an appropriate class ?In Bayesian statistics, the problem arises at that of deciding on a prior probability for the outcome in question (or when considering multiple outcomes, a prior probability distribution).".
- Reference_class_problem wikiPageID "1791332".
- Reference_class_problem wikiPageRevisionID "561886815".
- Reference_class_problem hasPhotoCollection Reference_class_problem.
- Reference_class_problem subject Category:Bayesian_statistics.
- Reference_class_problem subject Category:Logic_and_statistics.
- Reference_class_problem comment "In statistics, the reference class problem is the problem of deciding what class to use when calculating the probability applicable to a particular case. For example, to estimate the probability of an aircraft crashing, one might use the frequency of crashes of all aircraft, of this make of aircraft, of aircraft flown by this company in the last ten years, etc.".
- Reference_class_problem label "Reference class problem".
- Reference_class_problem sameAs m.05x8dl.
- Reference_class_problem sameAs Q7307115.
- Reference_class_problem sameAs Q7307115.
- Reference_class_problem wasDerivedFrom Reference_class_problem?oldid=561886815.
- Reference_class_problem isPrimaryTopicOf Reference_class_problem.