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- catalog abstract "This report documents the development of a two-state Markovian model of the demand for cocaine and includes the estimation of incidence, prevalence, cohort retention, and consumption. The study states that the incidence of new users into light cocaine use has varied greatly over the years and is an input to the model; however, the model cannot predict future prevalence--it can only project prevalence given a hypothetical incidence scenario. The model also demonstrates that the fraction of all cocaine users who are heavy users has varied greatly over time, and that peak heavy usage followed peak incidence by about ten years. Consequently, the effect on heavy usage of government programs that reduce incidence (such as prevention programs) will only be realized many years later.".
- catalog contributor b6274767.
- catalog contributor b6274768.
- catalog contributor b6274769.
- catalog contributor b6274770.
- catalog contributor b6274771.
- catalog contributor b6274772.
- catalog created "1994.".
- catalog date "1994".
- catalog date "1994.".
- catalog dateCopyrighted "1994.".
- catalog description "Includes bibliographical references (p. 59-60).".
- catalog description "This report documents the development of a two-state Markovian model of the demand for cocaine and includes the estimation of incidence, prevalence, cohort retention, and consumption. The study states that the incidence of new users into light cocaine use has varied greatly over the years and is an input to the model; however, the model cannot predict future prevalence--it can only project prevalence given a hypothetical incidence scenario. The model also demonstrates that the fraction of all cocaine users who are heavy users has varied greatly over time, and that peak heavy usage followed peak incidence by about ten years. Consequently, the effect on heavy usage of government programs that reduce incidence (such as prevention programs) will only be realized many years later.".
- catalog extent "xix, 60 p. :".
- catalog identifier "0833015532".
- catalog issued "1994".
- catalog issued "1994.".
- catalog language "eng".
- catalog publisher "Santa Monica, CA : Rand,".
- catalog spatial "United States".
- catalog spatial "United States.".
- catalog subject "Cocaine abuse United States Mathematical models.".
- catalog subject "Cocaine abuse United States Prevention Mathematical models.".
- catalog subject "Cocaine adverse effects.".
- catalog subject "Cocaine-Related Disorders prevention & control United States.".
- catalog subject "Cocaine.".
- catalog subject "Drug traffic United States Mathematical models.".
- catalog subject "HV5810 .E84 1994".
- catalog subject "Models, Psychological.".
- catalog subject "WM 280 E93m 1994".
- catalog title "Modeling the demand for cocaine / Susan S. Everingham, C. Peter Rydell.".
- catalog type "text".