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- catalog abstract ""Shapira offers a definitive account of the classical conception of risky decision making, which derives behavioral prescriptions from a calculation of both the value and the likelihood of possible outcomes. He then demonstrates how theories in this vein have been historically at odds with empirical observations. Risk Taking reports the results of an extensive survey of seven hundred managers that probed their attitudes and beliefs about risk and examined how they had actually made decisions in the face of uncertainty. The picture that emerges is of a dynamic, flexible process in which each manager's personal expertise and perceptions play profound roles." "Managerial strategies are continually modified to suit changing circumstances. Rather than formulating probability estimates, executives create potential scenarios based not only on the possible outcomes but also on the many arbitrary factors inherent in their own situations. As Shapira notes, risk taking propensities vary among managers, and the need to maintain control and avoid particularly dangerous results exercises a powerful influence. Shapira also examines the impact of organizational structure, long-term management objectives, and incentives on decision making."--Jacket.".
- catalog contributor b7428580.
- catalog created "c1995.".
- catalog date "1995".
- catalog date "c1995.".
- catalog dateCopyrighted "c1995.".
- catalog description ""Shapira offers a definitive account of the classical conception of risky decision making, which derives behavioral prescriptions from a calculation of both the value and the likelihood of possible outcomes. He then demonstrates how theories in this vein have been historically at odds with empirical observations. Risk Taking reports the results of an extensive survey of seven hundred managers that probed their attitudes and beliefs about risk and examined how they had actually made decisions in the face of uncertainty. The picture that emerges is of a dynamic, flexible process in which each manager's personal expertise and perceptions play profound roles." "Managerial strategies are continually modified to suit changing circumstances. Rather than formulating probability estimates, executives create potential scenarios based not only on the possible outcomes but also on the many arbitrary factors inherent in their own situations. As Shapira notes, risk taking propensities vary among managers, and the need to maintain control and avoid particularly dangerous results exercises a powerful influence. Shapira also examines the impact of organizational structure, long-term management objectives, and incentives on decision making."--Jacket.".
- catalog description "Includes bibliographical references (p. 138-148) and index.".
- catalog description "The role of risk in decision making -- Characteristics of risk and risk taking -- The study: methods and participants -- The definition of risk -- Attitudes toward risk -- Dealing with risk -- Cognitive aspects of risk taking -- Incentives and risk taking -- On the prospects for improving managerial risk taking.".
- catalog extent "xiii, 174 p. :".
- catalog identifier "087154766X".
- catalog issued "1995".
- catalog issued "c1995.".
- catalog language "eng".
- catalog publisher "New York : Russell Sage Foundation,".
- catalog subject "658.4/03 20".
- catalog subject "Decision making.".
- catalog subject "HD61 .S44 1994".
- catalog subject "HD61 .S44 1995".
- catalog subject "Risk management.".
- catalog subject "Risk-taking (Psychology)".
- catalog tableOfContents "The role of risk in decision making -- Characteristics of risk and risk taking -- The study: methods and participants -- The definition of risk -- Attitudes toward risk -- Dealing with risk -- Cognitive aspects of risk taking -- Incentives and risk taking -- On the prospects for improving managerial risk taking.".
- catalog title "Risk taking : a managerial perspective / Zur Shapira.".
- catalog type "text".