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- catalog abstract "All forecasting involves human judgment and many forecasts are based exclusively on judgment. This book brings together the latest research into the role of judgment in forecasting. It considers questions such as: How good is human judgment? Do judgmental forecasters use information efficiently? What techniques are available to help groups of people to produce better forecasts? What reasoning processes are employed by people when they make judgments about uncertainty? When should judgment be used in combination with statistical methods? The role of judgment in strategic planning, financial forecasting, and sales forecasting is considered from both theoretical and practical perspectives. It will be of interest both to professional forecasters and academics and should stimulate further research into the processes involved in making judgmental forecasts and how these processes can be improved.".
- catalog contributor b10665547.
- catalog contributor b10665548.
- catalog created "c1998.".
- catalog date "1998".
- catalog date "c1998.".
- catalog dateCopyrighted "c1998.".
- catalog description "All forecasting involves human judgment and many forecasts are based exclusively on judgment. This book brings together the latest research into the role of judgment in forecasting. It considers questions such as: How good is human judgment? Do judgmental forecasters use information efficiently? What techniques are available to help groups of people to produce better forecasts? What reasoning processes are employed by people when they make judgments about uncertainty? When should judgment be used in combination with statistical methods? The role of judgment in strategic planning, financial forecasting, and sales forecasting is considered from both theoretical and practical perspectives.".
- catalog description "Includes bibliographical references and index.".
- catalog description "It will be of interest both to professional forecasters and academics and should stimulate further research into the processes involved in making judgmental forecasts and how these processes can be improved.".
- catalog description "Judgment : its role and value for strategy / Spyros Makridakis and Anil Gaba -- Scenario planning scaffolding disorganized ideas about the future / Kees van der Heijden -- Judgmental forecasting and the use of available information / Marcus O'Connor and Michael Lawrence -- Enhancing judgmental sales forecasting : the role of laboratory research / Paul Goodwin -- Heuristics and biases in judgmental forecasting / Fergus Bolger and Nigel Harvey -- Financial forecasting with judgment / Dilek Önkal-Atay -- Reasoning with category knowledge in probabilty forecasting : typicality and perceived variability effects / Glenn J. Browne and Shawn P. Curley -- The use of structured groups to improve judgmental forecasting / Gene Rowe -- How bad is human judgment? / Pete Ayton -- Integration of statistical methods and judgment for time series forecasting : principles from empirical research / J. Scott Armstrong and Fred Collopy.".
- catalog extent "xvi, 297 p. :".
- catalog hasFormat "Forecasting with judgement.".
- catalog identifier "047197014X (alk. paper)".
- catalog isFormatOf "Forecasting with judgement.".
- catalog issued "1998".
- catalog issued "c1998.".
- catalog language "eng".
- catalog publisher "Chichester [England] ; New York : J. Wiley,".
- catalog relation "Forecasting with judgement.".
- catalog subject "338.5/442 21".
- catalog subject "Business forecasting.".
- catalog subject "Decision making.".
- catalog subject "Forecasting.".
- catalog subject "HD30.27 .F688 1998".
- catalog subject "Judgment.".
- catalog tableOfContents "Judgment : its role and value for strategy / Spyros Makridakis and Anil Gaba -- Scenario planning scaffolding disorganized ideas about the future / Kees van der Heijden -- Judgmental forecasting and the use of available information / Marcus O'Connor and Michael Lawrence -- Enhancing judgmental sales forecasting : the role of laboratory research / Paul Goodwin -- Heuristics and biases in judgmental forecasting / Fergus Bolger and Nigel Harvey -- Financial forecasting with judgment / Dilek Önkal-Atay -- Reasoning with category knowledge in probabilty forecasting : typicality and perceived variability effects / Glenn J. Browne and Shawn P. Curley -- The use of structured groups to improve judgmental forecasting / Gene Rowe -- How bad is human judgment? / Pete Ayton -- Integration of statistical methods and judgment for time series forecasting : principles from empirical research / J. Scott Armstrong and Fred Collopy.".
- catalog title "Forecasting with judgement / edited by George Wright and Paul Goodwin.".
- catalog type "text".