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- 2009041215 contributor B11442473.
- 2009041215 created "c2010.".
- 2009041215 date "2010".
- 2009041215 date "c2010.".
- 2009041215 dateCopyrighted "c2010.".
- 2009041215 description "Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.".
- 2009041215 description "Includes bibliographical references and index.".
- 2009041215 extent "xv, 267 p. :".
- 2009041215 identifier "0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper)".
- 2009041215 identifier "0231521677 (ebook)".
- 2009041215 identifier "9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper)".
- 2009041215 identifier "9780231521673 (ebook)".
- 2009041215 issued "2010".
- 2009041215 issued "c2010.".
- 2009041215 language "eng".
- 2009041215 publisher "New York : Columbia Business School Publishing,".
- 2009041215 subject "332.63/2042 22".
- 2009041215 subject "Business cycles.".
- 2009041215 subject "HG4529 .P67 2010".
- 2009041215 subject "Investment analysis.".
- 2009041215 subject "Investments Forecasting.".
- 2009041215 subject "Recessions.".
- 2009041215 tableOfContents "Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.".
- 2009041215 title "Stalking the black swan : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner.".
- 2009041215 type "text".